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impacted wholeheartedly Time passes and is unattainable

Radiohead comes to Argentina.

John A. recently, has persuaded me more than anything, by reading dedicated conducted its excellent blog - to write my dreams. As a child, or better, entering pre-adolescence, I used to write my dreams in a cheap notebook purchased on either side and then read it recurrences: could quote whole passages of dreams in this entry, but perhaps soon to make target to explode from the inside out and give this experience the only way remaining for old things: the naked exposure.

I just got up from a nap of 75 exact minutes. I'll write what I dreamed.

I am in my usual work (the other work, as they say some on their daytime activities) in a theater school, managing the accounts of people who pay more or less regular dues. At one point, enter the door two old friends and acquaintances from my previous job in the advertising department of the unspeakable monster called Coto supermarkets, are GD, former editor and creative, and SRR, also an editor, assistant at the time of first. Both currently work on their own, and in my dream this condition is maintained: he had the feeling that not seen for some time, and just across the door, pretending interest in a course, but with a look of bewilderment as if they think "look where she works this guy now "- I'm happy and I intend to serve them graciously, showing that recognize: their beards are grown irregularly, dress clothes and GD always takes some flyers on the table with the face of disbelief. They sit down and start talking about some things: The first thing I say is "look what I have now," referring to my contemporary use of a cell (always refused, until this year I have one). The problem is that cell volume is not mine SRR but, I said that is his: it is very similar to my home phone, except that it has silver lines instead of white. take another phone: GD is that it is also very similar to mine but has purple lines. I take a third cell is mine, I tell the story (SRR, look no face GD) how I bought it, how my sister had gotten for it from a friend but not wanting to change me number sell the same "friend price". At that moment the doorbell rings: C., my partner in my current job, as always enters my place in the afternoon.

is worth noting that the place-an old house, one of those "of Palermo", only in Belgrano, converted into a school, usually a bright orange paint on the inside, begins to become opaque as the dream goes. For when I introduce my friends my current partner, the doorbell rings, then I realize that there were two gentlemen in the whole time I was with these guys ex-Cotero with the intention of asking for a course (wearing blue jean jackets worn, one has hair long, curly, and a black peaked cap upside down, the T-shirts worn inside the jacket are fluorescent and change color on the sleeves, which I do not see but I know). The threshold of the door changes shape and size, now is immense, and he hides a shadow, something like a fluorescent yellow shirt man has a stick in one hand and waiting to open. My companion, after taking care of strangers (my friends remain there during all this time, sitting at my sides), aims to open the door, and I feel that something will happen. When these men take leave to join the yellow jersey in the doorway are known-and to try to close the door, C. gets the surprise of the constant and annoying resistance taking these men to receive a door slammed in your face, definitely want to come, he intends to rob the place. C. Losing my friends and I we went ahead to fight these people, which hardly pushed out. Rapidly climbed the wooden stairs of the place-reflexes, outside, move so bestial, hitting, trying to get in any way, and once up, I meet with people known they were watching all the action: the first floor of the school is not always the first floor is a kind of rectangular corridor where you can look down through a sort of "lung block" that reveals the plant low. At the edge, Sandra Ballesteros, dressed in white shirt and skirt, acting as a sort of partner of mine, asked me a very cold but loving how I am, if I was okay. I say yes, my friends go to a nearby room where acquaintances are watching TV. Sandra caresses my face, looks at me sadly. I go to the bathroom.

Henri Bergson

in ruins in the bathroom, broken, tiles full of dirt, a dark green color around the whole scene, are my cousin J. and Aunt J. -Are not mother and daughter looking down the toilet, I, joined in this observation and see that the toilet is leaking, it is almost dry and passes a very tiny flow of water at the bottom that acts like a small stream where I time passes. "Time passes and is unattainable," says my aunt, "I can not partake of time," and I know that either, but do not say anything because noise sound again. The men managed to cross below the portal. I

down and try to contain them, but they are too violent, I have not all details, or defeat or beat me, "Sandra back up and look at me in pain, but also with a certain passivity. I said that hurt him, and that Radiohead is a very good band, "Did not you hear?" he says. At that point the dream turns his attention and I'm in the rehearsal room of Radiohead, Thom Yorke behind, who is running a strange version of "Idiotique", longest, and is running only one organ with little effect. From where I am, I can see Johnny Greenwood, but no one else. The version is long, slow, all in the dream love Radiohead. I turn my head and I'm on the threshold of work, but now looks within the front wall of my house. Through the shutters and the curtains I see my friends talking in the doorway, they now are the ones outside, but may talk quietly with a drink. Another friend adds Coto, J. -Is the address that appears in this vision. I'm back to change and back up, Sandra tells me that one of my friends was raped, I'll watch the room where TV and Sandra, after telling me that was so and so I face the guilty friend, I say I will kill you. I am very angry. C., a friend from the neighborhood, has a bare chest and holds quasi-Vikings muscles, take a scissors and begins to insult this supposed friend I do not know, but has blond curls and a face very similar the villain of Top secret. C. takes it hard in the arm and leads him to where he is Sandra, but nothing creates a fourth-place between the TV and the rectangular corridor. With scissors, and respecting the passivity of my "friend" of blond curls, very yellow, a yellow false starts cutting the one to leave this young man stripped in my presence. His head has many black spots, which makes me suspect the naturalness of the color in his face. It still sounds during the whole scene, the strange version of "Idiotique" I had heard. We present a noise at the door, my sister wakes me up to go home.

I touch my head hurts, it hurts much. I remember very strongly the scene of the toilet, my relationship with my current obsession with Henri Bergson, to my surprise with the arrival of Radiohead to the country. I tell my sister, the first thing I tell my sister sleep after the first estupiudez doze state that I can think to say is that her friend V. had not come home. Never babble that comment, a question of replacement parts of Argentina and Scotland. My sister says, "What party?".

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Theme: Equity in Health (Part I)

By Anibal Velásquez

Example: Equity of access to health services insured ESSALUD (Example for Peru)

Step 1. define the research variables
know
national health surveys
-DHS (DHS): maternal and child health in MEF and children under 5 years

departments. 1992, 1996, 2000 and from 2004 continued (2004-2007)
-ENAHO (for all ages, demand and use of services, health spending, insurance,

protein caloric intake by department). Annual surveys. Continuous ENAHO

-PLSS (for all ages, demand and use of services, health spending, insurance, and

regions)

Search

main research variables in the questionnaire surveys

Review Review the code dictionary
Check database
main variables are chosen research:

* Target population: ESSALUD insured socioeconomic level

* * Use of services

Step 2. The construction plan of the main variables
Identify the main and supplementary variables in the database
operationally define key variables eg
NSE: accumulated wealth (assets): We show you how in SPSS in the 2nd part of the thesis: Health Equity

Variables assets of the respondent: auto, radio, tv, telephone, bicycle, electricity, etc. Plan
calculation or construction of the variable eg

Reduce asset data at a rate
principal components factor analysis (SPSS)

eg Sick
service use (yes, no)
outpatient and / or hospital and / or emergency service use
=
Step 3. Built the study variables in the database
Step 4. Revising the calculations is evaluated whether to modify the construction of the variable
Step 5. Plan analysis of key variables

main results are presented:

-Contingency table of the main variable Vs NSE (2) study

-curve and concentration index (Lorenz curve and coef. GINI)
EXCEL sheet is used (will be shown in Part 3 Health Equity Thesis)

Step 6. Review of analysis
Step 7. Write the results and discussion
Step 8. Submit draft thesis

Photo: Credit Anibal Velasquez. Haitian Art. It is a wooden sculpture that is located in the Hotel Montana in Port au Prince, Haiti

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Thesis: Demand for health services

By Anibal Velásquez

1. Framework [1]

demand for health services

Perceptions of health care need to prevent, treat and rehabilitate a situation that has broken the health of people. This need to respond to physical factors (ie demand for health by accident, pregnancy, disease) or to life cycle factors life. Total

defendant

health care level of health that a person wishes to acquire.

premises of the model to estimate demand

Given a perception of need, people can access the health system according to their budget constraint and take a fee for access to the availability of infrastructure and use it as the degree of need and degree of risk aversion.

Demand for health services has some elements not shared by the demand for most goods and services, which usually makes its modeling and estimation, these are:

a) Demand health has a significant random component.
b) The types of services demanded by household members are qualitatively different.
c) Demand for services behaves symmetrically rate movements, demonstrating discontinuities in behavioral function. Is explained by the conditionality of being sick, be assured, by income levels, the type of disease, the quality of services and habits.
d) Demand for services is associated with a sequential decision by the people.
• In a first step it is decided whether or not seeking health care, which is conditional on a perceived symptoms of illness, an accident, or require preventive controls.
• In a second stage, they decide to choose a type of health service provider (eg, MOH, ESSALUD or private).
to here refers to the demand for access.
• Once you access the service, determine the expenditure required for health care or intensity of use. This corresponds to the concept of demand is to use a "proxy" of the volume of health services used by an individual or a household, based on the aggregation of the actual cost of the basket of health services (outpatient, inpatient, ancillary tests and medicines).

demand model of health services

is an econometric model developed for estimating the demand is made by a sequential estimation equations:

· Model of illness perceptions
· Model of health system access

The equations have been modeled considering the methodology Heckman two-stage and estimated in the context of a probabilistic model.

2. The illness perception model

The decision of individuals to self-reported sick is selective.

A differentiated pattern of self-reported illness that varies by level of risk of the individual (related to living conditions), its position in the life cycle (age) and according to socio-economic conditions of the individual (such as sex, education level, employment status, insurance status) and home (such as gender and educational level of the individual who makes decisions , poverty status, the domain or geographic area to which it belongs, among other factors).

The patient self-reported decision is modeled using a qualitative dependent variable model (probit).

each individual is assumed to perform a cost-benefit analysis to make a decision.

The value of net profit declared for each individual patient is an unobserved variable (Z *). However, it is possible to observe the decision taken by each individual (it is observed whether or not self-report as patients). This decision is captured by a variable z that takes the value 1 when the individual is declared sick and 0 otherwise.


(Z *) = Ie + b d e

I + Z = 1 if Z *> 0
Z = 0 if Z * <0 ie=" vector" he=" vector" d="vector" b="vector" e="error">

3. Variables Model 1: perception of disease

Dependent Disease, 1 = sick, 0 = other
Definition: illness is chronic or sick in the last 4 weeks


Budgetary Poverty Level: 1 = extremely poor, 2 = not extreme poor, 3 = poor
dependency ratio

Active Population / No. household members
Definition: EAP is the economically active population, 1 = Dependent, 2 = Independent, 3 =

unemployed, 4 = PENALTY (not economically active population) Working
last 7 days, not working, unemployed seeking work, and

those without work are not looking because they know they will not find.

Insurance Definition: The probability of being insured net of the effects of PEA variables, sex and age

assurance model with these three variables, calculates the probability given these three factors

, given the difference of error


access costs Definition: weighted average rate of the basket of health services with day hospitalization
Hosp. (Day consultation fee). View number of days. Consultation

auxiliary tests (total analysis)

individual attributes
Sex: 0 = male, 1 = female

Age: 1 = between 7-25, 2 = between 26-60, 3 = under 6 and over 60

Attributes decision unit

Sex of head of household: 0 = male, 1 = female
Year Study of the head of Externalities

Risk of life: 1 = low risk, 2 = medium risk, 3 = high risk
Average of four indicators: a) time sources and average water supply,
b) type of toilet c) overcrowding (family members per room)

d) poverty level (as proxy for household food conditions)

Interactions

Rate Risk * insurance * insurance

extreme poverty rate * Price * Price * domain
nopobres

4. Model 2 variables: health service use

Dependent health service use, 1 = sick, 0 = other
Definition: patients who used health services, inpatient or outpatient

Budgetary
poverty level, 1 = extremely poor, 2 = poor not extreme, 3 = poor
dependency ratio per capita expenditure

:

Active Population / No. household members
Definition: EAP is the economically active population, 1 = Dependent, 2 = Independent, 3 =

unemployed, 4 = PENALTY (population economically not active) Working
last 7 days, not working, seeking work Unemployed and

those without work are not looking because they know they will not find.

Insurance Definition: The probability of being insured net of the effects of PEA variables, sex and age

assurance model with these three variables, calculate the probability given

these three factors, given the difference
error

access costs Definition: weighted average rate of the basket of health services with days of hospitalization
Hosp. (Day consultation fee). View number of days.
Consultation
ancillary tests (total analysis)

average per capita expenditure on health / ill

individual attributes

Sex: 0 = male, 1 = female
Age: 1 = 7 to -25, 2 = between 26-60, 3 = under 6 and over 60

Severity of illness

chronic discomfort

Sick Sick Injured

not chronic

Attributes

decision unit

Sex of head of household: 0 = male, 1 = female
Year of study of the household head

Externalities

Risk of life: 1 = low risk, 2 = medium risk, 3 = high risk
Average of four indicators: a) sources and the average time water,
b) type of toilet c) overcrowding (family members per room)

d) poverty level (as proxy for household food conditions)

Interactions

Rate Risk * insurance * insurance

extreme poverty rate * Price * Price * domain
nopobres

5. Estimation of pent-up demand for health services

The repressed demand estimation is performed using a sensitivity analysis on the model of block 1. The following table shows the probability of self-reported illness is higher in the non-poor when there are barriers, and change when you remove the economic barriers (pretending that the tariff is zero and that all are safe). It is noted that when you remove the economic barriers increases the self-reported disease in the extremely poor reaching levels similar to the non-poor (Figure 1). This suggests that the pattern of reporting of disease is affected by economic factors.

result, pent-up demand (the difference in the probability of self-reported sick with barriers less likely without barriers) is 10% in the group of extreme poor.

Chart 1

Estimate Potential Demand for health services

The potential demand for health services is derived from the sum of effective demand (which was declared in the survey) claim more covert (which did not use the service despite having declared to be ill due to lack of money) and more pent-up demand (the probability of declaring sick if remove economic barriers and uninsured).